Bernie Sanders – Democrats’ Best Shot

It’s time we Democrats come together around our best chance to win.

Or so we Berners are told over and over again.

The following are the Nebraska Primary Winners of recent challenged races –

Bernie Sanders 2016
Mitt Romney 2012 (Obama unchallenged incumbent)
Obama & McCain 2008
Gore & W Bush 2000

This is not to pin NE with picking the winner. But it contrasts with a zoom into Hillary’s base of Primary wins thus far, and to how it translates into a General election against a Republican challenger.

Take a look at the map of the former Confederate States of America:

Confederate Map.png

Now check the US 2016 Primary map as of March 10 – credit: Meg McAuley‎

11059406_10110316928469534_2543486612219212714_n.jpg

No Dem will take many of the General election’s Electoral College votes in these deepest red states: roughly VA and south, and east of NM. All of Hillary’s decisive wins – those of 60% or better – come from these states alone.

Dems do well in FL, and I expect Sanders to in this Primary. Otherwise, no 2016 Democratic path to victory includes many votes in the south, except FL.

From this, one might even deduce HRC sweeping the midwest. The other predominantly red area of the USA. The other area of the USA scantly included in any 2016 Democratic path to victory.

North, east and west of the red states, we #FeelTheBern. Soon, even the press will have to quit pretending not to notice.

HRC’s highest vote totals come in places that rarely translate into many EC votes in the General. Outside those areas, things are much closer, so her base support in the bluer areas is much weaker.

Although HRC’s still got TheBern in the Dem Primary nationwide, in RCP amalgamation (albeit by less of a lead than just in early Feb), TheBern remains a better bet in the General, as he has long been:

TheBern still beats The Trumpmastermajor by more, and beats Cruz, Rubio, and Kasich; whereas:

HRC barely beats The Trumpster, and loses to Cruz, Rubio and Kasich.

Right now. Today.

This has been the trend for many months…although you wouldn’t know it from lame stream news coverage.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com

The dedicated delegate count stands at 663 to 457, HRC’s favor. That is not even a 60-40 lead, in the results of just 18 / 50 contests so far.

Out of 4,765 total delegates.

About 10% are superdelegates, which change with the fickle political winds, or always have. Ask HRC about 2008, when they went from “Go Hillary” to “Hillary Who” in very short time.

It is anyone’s ballgame, and we need to send our best shot forward to November

~ Steve Todd, Dauphin County Democratic Committee, Derry Twp, Precinct 12

MARCH 22 UPDATE – Lame Stream Corporate Media FINALLY Catches Up

Finally lame stream notices that she only wins red states, which will never vote for any Dem in POTUS 2016, AND that TheBern does better than her against all three Rs.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-partisan/wp/2016/03/21/the-republican-race-serves-as-a-useful-distraction-from-how-bad-things-are-for-clinton/

Even it can not ignore the facts any longer. Expect more to come. Especially after this week’s elections.

Hasn’t social media and alternative media been screaming that since there were four R’s? Why: yes, yes we have. Right here, for one.

Per the Washington Post link: “According to OpenSecrets, 70 percent of the individual contributions to Sanders’s campaign come from small donors. Only 19 percent of Clinton’s individual contributions come from small donors”

We must start to chose our elected representation based on who funds their campaigns.

MARCH 27 UPDATE – Stay in the Lines…

With more states weighing in, the results when shaded by depth of win per county, are a staggering display of the deep division in our 50 US states:

0327 by county.jpg

APRIL 6 UPDATE – Map

Dem Primary wins 040616

Dem Primary wins 040616

 

APRIL 8 UPDATE – The Proof in McClatchy/Marist Poll

Per April 7 McClatchy/Marist poll:

Clinton beats Trump by 9 points.
Sanders beats Trump by 20 points.

Clinton is TIED with Cruz.
Sanders BEATS Cruz by 12 points.

Clinton LOSES to Kasich by 9 points.
Sanders BEATS Kasich by 11 points.

McClatchy Marist Poll General Election, April 2016

Advertisements

About steventodd

Both parties are broken by big money...what to do? I'm a dad, husband, son, taxpayer, voter, civil engineer, reporter, blogger, rabble-rouser and honest guy.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

One Response to Bernie Sanders – Democrats’ Best Shot

  1. Pingback: Steve Todd’s 2016 Liberal Voting Guide | Steve Todd – Passionate about things that matter.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s